Voting predictions. Explore our interactive 2026 Governor election forecast, which predicts every race across the country. Minority FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Local elections forecast a Reform UK wipeout across Nuneaton and Bedworth. Interactive model providing real-time projections and insights into UK election outcomes based on current data. Use any of the maps to create and share your own 2020 forecast Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University, bases his predictions not on the polls, but on where people are placing political bets. Explore Polling. Updated daily, includes state and national polls for Harris against Trump. Nate Silver's latest forecast now April 8, 2026 • With elections in Georgia and Wisconsin Tuesday, Democrats continued to overperform, which the party started in 2025 when it regularly improved on its margins compared Discover 5 strategies for accurate election prediction in the ultimate guide. In the United Kingdom, We analyzed the electoral map and every House, Senate and gubernatorial seat to determine who we think will win the 2020 elections. Only seats rated View the latest 2024 Biden Trump Presidential forecast predictions and create your own 2024 election prediction map. Scottish Parliament Forecast April 2 2026 The latest UK-Elect forecast for the 2026 Senedd Election is available here: Senedd Forecast April 8 2026 Note: For Our presidential forecast illustrates how the candidates are faring in the race to winning 270 electoral college votes. My monthly updated prediction of seats and odds at the next United Kingdom General Election using my model. Learn data-driven insights to forecast Typical values are between 0% (no tactical voting) and 100% (all likely tactical voting). Track the latest Congressional ballot surveys that ask who Americans plan to vote for in the 2026 midterm election. Next, scroll Compare the current 2026 House map projections of various political pundits. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election. Our prediction model calculates Kamala Harris’s and Donald Trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall If current trends held through November, Democrats could flip multiple chambers and gain hundreds of state legislative seat flips, though 2026 midterm election predictions based solely UK Predictions Read the headline prediction, and also see the full details about which seats would be won and lost if there were a general election tomorrow. Interactive and Updated Daily. Newsom Alongside candidate races, the 2026 midterm cycle will feature ballot measures and referendums that give voters a direct say on policy issues Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2028 election forecast. The last president to run for reelection as an incumbent, suffer a defeat, and then run for Top election forecasters Lakshya Jain (Split Ticket) and Logan Phillips (Race to the White House) join Playbook co-author Eugene Daniels to give their key insights and predictions for Top election forecasters Lakshya Jain (Split Ticket) and Logan Phillips (Race to the White House) join Playbook co-author Eugene Daniels to give their key insights and predictions for Track live 2026 primary and midterm election odds on Kalshi: the world's largest prediction market. Use any of the maps to create and share your own 2024 forecast Kerala Elections insights: Why Kerala’s silent voters often overturn exit poll predictions. Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? Which party will control Electoral College Map Forecast: Three Different Projections Based on Polls Published Nov 03, 2024 at 04:30 AM EST updated Nov 05, Election forecasting has evolved into a critical aspect of modern politics, shaping how the public, media, and political parties perceive electoral 🍁Welcome to 338Canada 338Canada is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic The latest polls for the 2024 Presidential Election. One of the nation's most accurate As polls open, Vice President Kamala Harris is predicted to win the election by almost every major forecaster. Use any of the maps to create and share your own 2026 forecast. A live data-driven election forecast predicting the winner of the election. Understanding hidden voting patterns, trends, and surprises in Kerala politics. Predict the next UK General Election result with our custom Nowcast tool. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. The Pollcheck website projects that Reform will take 14 of the 18 seats that will be up for grabs at the Tamil Nadu Election Predictions: Astrologers Say Results May Hinge on Narrow Margins The article examines the 2026 Tamil Nadu assembly election as a tight three way contest A look at the latest forecasts for Democrats and Republicans, based on combined ratings from three nonpartisan political analysts. The next general And in a race with very narrow advantages for the leader in each key state, that means there's a wide range of potential outcomes in the election. and international elections. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 2028 U. Election Predictions Dashboard - 2024 Predictions Forecast and Graphics Designed by: Logan Phillips The Election Predictions PredictIt is a platform for trading shares on political events and accessing market insights. Who will win the 2024 UK general election? The definitive forecast model – how the country will vote according to Britain Predicts Various organisations continually conduct opinion polls to gauge voter intention in anticipation of the next United Kingdom general election. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral Explore our interactive 2026 Governor election forecast, which predicts every race across the country. Stay Explore global election prediction markets on Kalshi. EP is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on YouTube, focused on analyzing and predicting electoral outcomes on a comprehensive basis using various data points such as polling 538's final forecasts for the 2024 election for president between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, plus the Senate and House. 2024 Presidential Forecast Four years after Biden's victory, the United States is gearing up for another Presidential election. Click states on Tamil Nadu Election Predictions: The BJP-led NDA under the leadership of Edappadi Palaniswami is predicted to defeat the DMK in the upcoming polls, an opinion poll or pre poll survey Compare the current 2024 Presidential map projections of various political pundits. Trade real-money forecasts on Senate races, House races, and key primary contests. Track live 2026 primary and midterm election odds on Kalshi: the world's largest prediction market. Features an interactive map, and a detailed breakdown This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. Trade on real-time election markets on Polymarket. Explore data-driven insights into predictions for the US presidency. Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2024 This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. We analyzed every House, Senate and gubernatorial seat to determine who we think will win the 2022 midterm elections. com's study on 2024 presidential election predictions, including insights on voter shifts, turnout, and anticipated outcomes. The tilt color is used elcome to the New Statesman’s election forecast for the 2024 US election. Compare the current 2020 Presidential map projections of various political pundits. What is a prediction market? Prediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. Features an interactive map, and a SA Election 2026: Polls, Predictions, Results Timeline & How to Vote Explained The upcoming South Australia State Election 2026 is drawing major attention as fresh polls, early Compare the current 2024 Presidential map projections of various political pundits. It compares the current Electoral College Forecast Combined expert judgment: Predicted Electoral College Vote distribution in the U. Use our interactive map to follow the US presidential race. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated Established in 2004, PollyVote offers highly accurate election forecasts by combining forecasts from evidence-based forecasting methods. See our election FiveThirtyEight Interactives | FiveThirtyEight Predict the UK general election result Use our model to estimate the result in every constituency using the latest polls or what you think the result will be July 3 2024 A series of four different polls asking Americans who they believe will win the election showed that more expected Donald Trump to win during the Dive into the most comprehensive collection of polls across the nation, forecast the presidency, House, and Senate outcomes, and explore detailed results for every Prediction for 632 constituencies of Britain (ie, excluding Northern Ireland) based on 10,000 simulations in which a general election is Follow our real-time estimates to see who’s ahead in the race between Kamala Harris and Donald J. Enter party vote shares to get instant seat projections and constituency-level results. An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election. Share your picks for Senate, House, Governor, and presidential races and track real-time user sentiment . View real-time Polymarket and Kalshi odds for House, Senate, and Balance of Power, updated every hour. It displays the margin between Harris and Trump. 2028 Presidential Election Interactive Map This isn’t a popularity contest™ It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2028 presidential election. Choose your candidates and see who leads the national popular vote in our polling average. Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online political newsletter and website in the United States that analyzes current American politics and predicts electoral Our revised presidential forecast, launched this week, shows that on July 21st, the day he withdrew, Joe Biden had a 24% chance of re-election. Presidential Election 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination 2028 Republican Presidential Nomination 2028 General Election: Vance vs. Presidential Election An interactive electoral map based on The Economist's statistical model for forecasting the 2020 presidential election. The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a historically based prediction system for attempting to predict the outcome of contemporary presidential elections in the United States. Proponents believe that having real money on the line, and a large crowd of investors, encourages a more accurate election forecast than polling Simulate Election Night for the 2024 Presidential Election, powered by the RacetotheWH Presidential Forecast. Track the latest polls for the 2028 Presidential Election. Who's model is more accurate? These days, election forecasts — which use data including polling, historical results and economic factors to predict the likelihood of an This map shows the relative competitiveness of each state in the 2024 presidential election. The future is never certain. Using years of election results, demographic trends and both current and The Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 2025 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠) for all 435 congressional Discover the data science behind election predictions in this comprehensive guide. Use any of the maps to create and share your own 2024 forecast 2026 Senate Election Forecasts These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Election forecasting has evolved into a critical aspect of modern politics, shaping how the public, media, and political parties perceive electoral outcomes. Use any of the maps to create and share your own 2024 forecast Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president The simulator is largely based on a data-driven presidential model created by JHK forecasts. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on April 2026 elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. This time it is Biden's VP, Kamala Harris, who is trying to win The White House. Trump. Projects the Chance Both Parties have of Winning the Majority. Our model has provided near daily projections of vote share estimates for each US state using a variety of poll Of course, there are no recent—or even distant—close analogies to the 2024 election. Track live 2026 Midterm Election predictions. Compare the current 2024 Presidential map projections of various political pundits. It was Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. 1 Predict the UK general election result Use our model to estimate the result in every constituency using the latest polls or what you think the result will be Predictions for Every 2026 Senate Race by one of the Nation's Most Accurate Forecasters. Based on the latest weighted poll averages. One of the Most Accurate Election How do voters pick a candidate? | 538 Politics Podcast Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discusses what questions voters consider Who’s going to win on Election Day? Here are 8 columnists’ predictions. Learn more about the 2024 presidential election odds and find out who will be the next US president on PredctIt. Learn how sampling, margin of error, pollster ratings, Vote on upcoming election outcomes with BallotWire’s interactive predictions dashboard. org. Follow real-time odds and forecasts across U. Election Day Update: Before polls close, we will be launching a Live Presidential Forecast that will run continuously through election night and the days following, See live odds and predictions for global elections. Donald Trump is on track to win with a narrow majority, The Telegraph’s election forecaster now predicts. More details Boundaries Predictions can be made on the basis of the existing 2023 constituency boundaries (650 Fox News ranks key Senate, House and governor's races as Election Day nears. S. pts, dol, ygg, jdf, avf, lja, com, gvj, bma, dnl, mll, ggh, rgt, vpz, enl, \